Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-16 0.509709 0.584233 0.665095 0.759252 0.865776 0.982451 1.119826
2025-02-23 0.388758 0.487817 0.604473 0.751576 0.931688 1.144571 1.414784
2025-03-02 0.303300 0.414007 0.554629 0.745366 0.996225 1.313656 1.744377
2025-03-09 0.246309 0.363632 0.523469 0.755269 1.080607 1.518349 2.148779
2025-03-16 0.197861 0.314590 0.484443 0.746624 1.137383 1.693576 2.539213
2025-03-23 0.167289 0.284854 0.466598 0.763560 1.230877 1.930500 3.046891
2025-03-30 0.137805 0.250625 0.435418 0.754111 1.281960 2.110414 3.493129
2025-04-06 0.118404 0.228935 0.419927 0.766059 1.366750 2.350746 4.060925
2025-04-13 0.097858 0.200960 0.388695 0.745743 1.393973 2.500402 4.499244
2025-04-20 0.087309 0.189346 0.384116 0.770903 1.501894 2.795805 5.214398
2025-04-27 0.078979 0.180362 0.382689 0.801100 1.622029 3.125018 6.024311
2025-05-04 0.069623 0.167337 0.371083 0.809506 1.701690 3.389521 6.746009
2025-05-11 0.060591 0.153387 0.355637 0.808572 1.764552 3.632969 7.462365
2025-05-18 0.053057 0.141290 0.342048 0.809329 1.830812 3.890476 8.234983
2025-05-25 0.046521 0.130189 0.328723 0.808470 1.893372 4.147505 9.035067
2025-06-01 0.041881 0.122844 0.322719 0.822997 1.990727 4.485589 10.035075
2025-06-08 0.036654 0.112800 0.308508 0.816110 2.039361 4.727037 10.860140
2025-06-15 0.033497 0.107741 0.305724 0.836169 2.152036 5.117300 12.041455
2025-06-22 0.029399 0.099043 0.292055 0.826948 2.194266 5.357017 12.919396
2025-06-29 0.026768 0.094139 0.287609 0.840677 2.293823 5.736127 14.146185
2025-07-06 0.023166 0.085333 0.270816 0.818959 2.301938 5.904881 14.910472
2025-07-13 0.021653 0.082988 0.272044 0.846723 2.440442 6.395815 16.473601
2025-07-20 0.020424 0.081328 0.275020 0.879890 2.597383 6.947159 18.233080